Innovation
and technological developments have always been a threat to jobs – computers
and word processing software eliminated the need for typing pools; automation
eliminated thousands of assembly line positions; robots are now substituting
people in distribution warehouses. But new technological innovations may
threaten white collar professions, such as lawyers, brokers and other financial
intermediaries, and this could be devastating for economies overly reliant on
financial services, such as in Canada. The Blockchain technology may completely
change how companies and individuals transact, eliminating central clearing
mechanisms and eliminating intermediaries.
Originally
devised for digital crypto-currency, Bitcoin, blockchain is a technology that
produces digitized, decentralized, public ledgers that can track any
kind of transaction. The blockchain database is hosted and reconciled
by all the computers in the designated network simultaneously and, in this
system, intermediaries like banks and bourses or central clearing houses are made
redundant.
But
blockchain is not just for crypto-currencies - just a couple of weeks ago, one
of the first large-scale transactions using a blockchain technology was implemented
in trading electricity: energy companies E. ON and Enel in Europe traded electricity
for the first time using blockchain technology. The first peer-to-peer energy
contracts over the blockchain were executed via a software called Enerchain.
Because
blockchain eliminates a need for a central clearing house, it offers savings on
transaction fees, intermediary commissions, and proponents of this technology
argue that it also drastically reduces the time needed to process transactions.
However,
where there are proponents, there are also critics. One criticism of blockchain notes that trading
using this structure and network could be too slow because of the need to
constantly reconcile the ledger on all computers in the network. As well, by its
very nature, any information on blockchain is irreversible, which means that
any mistakes made by the transacting parties could also be irreversible, and
this could create inefficiencies and potentially losses or other costs. In most
instances, the central clearing house plays an important role in maintaining
the integrity of the marketplace. The centralized authority brings rules which
the marketplace participants want to adhere to, and need to be enforced, to
maintain order within the system. In the blockchain, keeping order may be more
complicated as market players would need to agree to and maintain the rules on
their own. In many cases, the number of players in the system could be very
large, with different rules and regulations, which might make it difficult to
‘decentralize’ through a blockchain structure.
This might mean that blockchain technologies may only be successful in certain select cases where a central clearing and policing body is needed less. Perhaps some professions and white collar positions may be safe, at least in the foreseeable future.
Ukrainian Credit Union Limited
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