Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Is the price of uranium bottoming out?



Canada is the second largest producer of uranium globally with over 13 thousand tonnes produced in 2015. However, the fortunes of the uranium-making industry have been declining over the past decade: uranium has never recovered from the impact of the Fukushima nuclear disaster, which took place in 2011, and the uranium spot price is currently near the 12-year low.

Source: cameco.com

The demise of the uranium price has led to the decline in the share price of many uranium stocks. For example, the biggest Canadian uranium company, Cameco Corp. (TSX: CCO), has been underperforming the S&P/TSX Composite Index for almost two years now.

Source: fool.com
 
However, many experts think that the price of uranium is currently bottoming out as the spot price has held above its long-term low level posted in November 2016. Such factors as shrinking supply (many of the biggest producers have cut back output); continued buildout of nuclear reactors (especially in China, the Middle East and Asia), and political support for a shift to carbon-free sources of energy, have been cited extensively as positives for the price of uranium for the near future. These factors have not yet caught the fancy of investors, yet the sheer longevity of the downturn in the price of uranium may serve as an optimistic factor in itself.

Ukrainian Credit Union Limited

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