Friday, March 28, 2014

Financial Comment - Canada Leading the Way

Canada Leading the Way
Ever since the start of the Ukrainian Revolution, Canada has lead the Western world in its support for Ukraine. Canada was the first to impose sanctions on the Yanukovych regime and is currently the most vocal and harsh critic of Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, which Prime Minister Stephen Harper proved during this week’s meetings in Europe.

Canada is probably making the strongest case of pursuing a greater good by imposing sanctions on Russia despite likely economic consequences for the Western countries. In all fairness, Canada is much less dependent on Russia economically than Europe which imports at least 30% of its energy from that country. In terms of the overall Canadian economy, even a complete disruption of trade and investment with Russia would not have a serious effect. In January 2014, merchandise trade with Russia represented only 0.1% and 0.3% of the total Canadian imports and exports respectively, while investment in Russia accounted for just 0.7% of the total Canadian direct investment abroad in 2012 (Statistics Canada).

That said, there are prominent Canadian companies with significant ties with Russia. In particular, Kinross Gold Corporation, which operates two gold projects in Russia; Bomdardier Inc., which is eyeing a joint venture in Russia and continued sales of aircraft there; SNC-Lavalin Group with interests in Russian energy-related projects. Since the beginning of the tensions, the Canada Eurasia Russia Business Association and Kinross Gold have addressed the government with pleas to consider Canadian interests in Russia while imposing sanctions. So far, the government maintains its stance and only offers sympathy to the companies with interests in Russia. Given that Russia is not yet showing readiness to diffuse the situation around Ukraine, Canadian investors may need to take into account possible negative fallout for these companies. In particular, in the gold-mining segment, there are a number of companies without exposure to Russia, and individuals should do their own research to discover which ones have better prospects.

By: Ukrainian Credit Union Limited

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